Posted by
Laura L. Hollis, JD on Sunday, November 01, 2009 2:58:43 PM
Christie over Corzine. In this political climate, "experience" is synonymous with "corrupt" and "same old same old" means bankruptcy. In a close contest, I think the Christie voters will turn out, and those whose support for Corzine was marginal will decide that it's time for something different in New Jersey. I also think the fact that Corzine has praised Christie as a prosecutor will help Christie, as will Corzine's tin-eared play-on-words regarding Christie's weight.
McDonnell over Deeds. No big crystal ball needed there.
Hoffman over Owens. Here, I think there are enough people who will be galvanized by Scozzafava's endorsement of Owens. NEWS-FRICKIN'- FLASH, DEDE: the people who would have voted for you would vote for Owens anyway. But those who were on the fence about whether or not you are a RINO will be persuaded, and motivated to go cast a vote for Hoffman.